Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1996 |
JPN
4 - 0
UZB
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
JPN
2 - 1
SYR
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
TUN
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
UZB
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
JPN
5 - 3
URU
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1996 |
SYR
0 - 3
CHN
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
CHN
0 - 2
UZB
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
CHN
2 - 3
KOR
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
KOR
3 - 1
CHN
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1996 |
CHN
0 - 2
PAR
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |