Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
KOR
1 - 1
JPN
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 3
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
AUS
2 - 1
JPN
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1995 |
UAE
1 - 1
JPN
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
JPN
1 - 5
ARG
27%
27%
47%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 0
CHN
17%
24%
59%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
CHN
0 - 0
KOR
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
CHN
2 - 4
UZB
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1994 |
CHN
2 - 0
KWT
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1994 |
CHN
2 - 0
KSA
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |