Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1989 |
KOR
1 - 0
JPN
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
IRN
3 - 1
JPN
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1989 |
IRN
2 - 2
JPN
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1988 |
JPN
0 - 1
KOR
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
JPN
0 - 3
CHN
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1988 |
IRN
0 - 0
CHN
59%
25%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
KOR
2 - 1
CHN
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1988 |
KSA
1 - 0
CHN
46%
29%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
CHN
2 - 2
KWT
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1988 |
CHN
1 - 0
BHR
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |