Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1988 |
OMA
1 - 1
JPN
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
UAE
2 - 0
JPN
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1988 |
UAE
1 - 1
JPN
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1987 |
JPN
2 - 2
SEN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
JPN
4 - 0
BGD
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
MEX
3 - 2
CHN
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CHN
0 - 2
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
KWT
0 - 0
CHN
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
CHN
2 - 4
KOR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1986 |
IND
1 - 2
CHN
16%
26%
58%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |