Japan vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
JPN
4 - 2
TUR
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GER
1 - 4
JPN
71%
16%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
JPN
4 - 1
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
JPN
6 - 0
SLV
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
USA
2 - 2
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
4 - 2
CUB
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GTM
0 - 0
CAN
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 2
GLP
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
USA
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |