Japan vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
THA
0 - 3
JPN
21%
25%
54%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
OMA
1 - 1
JPN
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2008 |
JPN
3 - 0
OMA
68%
21%
12%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
JPN
0 - 0
PAR
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 0
CIV
58%
24%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
BHR
1 - 1
OMA
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
BHR
1 - 1
THA
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2008 |
THA
2 - 3
BHR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
SGP
0 - 1
BHR
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BHR
1 - 0
JPN
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |