Japan vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
1 - 3
KOR
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
3 - 0
HKG
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
0 - 0
VEN
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
YEM
2 - 3
JPN
3%
12%
85%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
KWT
4 - 1
BHR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
YEM
3 - 0
BHR
11%
20%
70%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
BHR
4 - 0
HKG
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
BHR
4 - 0
YEM
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
NZL
1 - 0
BHR
24%
25%
52%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |