Japan vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
38%
27%
35%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 1
PRK
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
JPN
3 - 0
SYR
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
JPN
4 - 0
KAZ
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
JPN
0 - 3
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 2
BHR
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
BHR
0 - 0
IRN
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
BHR
2 - 1
LBN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
BHR
0 - 1
NOR
18%
26%
57%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2004 |
BHR
3 - 1
KWT
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |