Japan vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.3%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
7.7%
5-0
11.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12.9%
4-0
15.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
18.2%
3-0
17.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
11%
4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
4%
0.6%
Win probability
0.19
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.6%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
KHM
0 - 2
JPN
9%
19%
73%
|
88 | 27 | 61 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SGP
0 - 3
JPN
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
IRN
1 - 1
JPN
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SYR
0 - 3
JPN
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
AFG
0 - 6
JPN
4%
14%
83%
|
88 | 44 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
AFG
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
5 - 0
LKA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 1
MDV
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
AFG
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 0
BGD
59%
22%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |