Italy vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
ITA
3 - 1
BRA
54%
21%
25%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
ITA
2 - 2
GBR
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
ITA
4 - 1
TWN
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
57%
21%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1960 |
ITA
3 - 0
SUI
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
YUG
3 - 3
BGR
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
4 - 0
TUR
87%
8%
5%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
6 - 1
EGY
90%
7%
4%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
7 - 0
TUN
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
SUN
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |