Italy vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1925 |
POR
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1925 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1925 |
ITA
7 - 0
FRA
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1925 |
ITA
1 - 2
HUN
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1924 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1925 |
CSK
7 - 0
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 80 | 70 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1924 |
YUG
0 - 2
CSK
15%
22%
63%
|
10 | 79 | 69 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1924 |
URU
7 - 0
YUG
86%
10%
5%
|
11 | 80 | 69 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1924 |
YUG
1 - 4
AUT
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 75 | 64 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1923 |
CSK
4 - 4
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 79 | 69 | +1 |