Italy vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
2 - 0
CSK
61%
24%
15%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
76%
17%
7%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
62%
23%
15%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
SUI
0 - 1
ITA
27%
32%
41%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
NED
0 - 0
ITA
49%
28%
23%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1990 |
KOR
0 - 1
URU
44%
29%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1990 |
BEL
3 - 1
URU
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1990 |
URU
0 - 0
ESP
44%
28%
29%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 2
URU
69%
21%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1990 |
NIR
1 - 0
URU
36%
31%
33%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |