Italy vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
SUI
0 - 0
ITA
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
LUX
0 - 4
ITA
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ITA
3 - 1
YUG
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
BGR
1 - 1
ITA
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1972 |
ROU
3 - 3
ITA
30%
28%
42%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
TUR
3 - 0
LUX
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
LUX
2 - 0
TUR
39%
21%
39%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
ALG
1 - 0
TUR
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
TUR
1 - 0
POL
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ALB
3 - 0
TUR
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |