EC Qualifying Clasificación Final
Global 7-0
Italy vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
AUT
1 - 2
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1962 |
ITA
3 - 0
CHE
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
CHL
2 - 0
ITA
56%
20%
24%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1962 |
BRD
0 - 0
ITA
60%
19%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
BEL
1 - 3
ITA
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
ISR
0 - 2
TUR
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
TUR
3 - 0
ETH
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1962 |
TUR
1 - 0
ISR
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
HUN
2 - 1
TUR
87%
9%
5%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
TUR
1 - 2
SUN
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |