Italy vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
TUR
0 - 3
ITA
25%
24%
51%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 0
CZE
68%
20%
13%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
ITA
7 - 0
SMR
87%
10%
3%
|
92 | 20 | 72 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
LTU
0 - 2
ITA
2%
13%
85%
|
92 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BGR
0 - 2
ITA
8%
19%
73%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 1
SUI
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
SUI
7 - 0
LIE
84%
12%
4%
|
89 | 34 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SUI
2 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SUI
3 - 2
FIN
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SUI
1 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |