Italy vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
ITA
2 - 0
GRC
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1986 |
ITA
0 - 2
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1986 |
KOR
2 - 3
ITA
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1986 |
ITA
1 - 1
ARG
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1986 |
BGR
1 - 1
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
SUI
1 - 1
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUI
63%
23%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
AUT
1 - 1
SUI
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1986 |
SUI
2 - 0
FRA
24%
28%
47%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1986 |
SUI
2 - 0
ALG
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |