Italy vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
ITA
2 - 0
SWE
68%
20%
13%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1973 |
ITA
2 - 0
ENG
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1973 |
ITA
2 - 0
BRA
46%
25%
30%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ITA
5 - 0
LUX
95%
4%
1%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
TUR
0 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
52%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
SUI
1 - 0
LUX
77%
14%
10%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1973 |
SUI
1 - 0
SCO
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1973 |
SUI
0 - 0
TUR
62%
19%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
LUX
0 - 1
SUI
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1972 |
BRD
5 - 1
SUI
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |