Italy vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
SUI
2 - 2
ITA
32%
26%
42%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1967 |
ITA
5 - 0
CYP
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1967 |
ROU
0 - 1
ITA
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
ITA
1 - 1
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
CYP
0 - 2
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
SUI
2 - 2
ITA
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
SUI
5 - 0
CYP
51%
20%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 2
SUI
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1967 |
SUI
7 - 1
ROU
39%
24%
38%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 May. 1967 |
SUI
1 - 2
CSK
33%
24%
43%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |