Italy vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
ITA
3 - 2
AUT
71%
15%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
SUI
4 - 4
ITA
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
ITA
4 - 0
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
ITA
4 - 0
CRO
79%
13%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
ITA
3 - 1
SLV
83%
10%
6%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
POR
2 - 2
SUI
59%
20%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
SUI
1 - 0
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
CSK
3 - 2
SUI
74%
15%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
SWE
7 - 2
SUI
81%
11%
8%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1946 |
SCO
3 - 1
SUI
70%
17%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |