Italy vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
HUN
0 - 1
ITA
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1933 |
ITA
1 - 1
ENG
51%
20%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
ITA
2 - 0
CSK
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1933 |
SUI
0 - 3
ITA
43%
22%
35%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1933 |
BEL
2 - 3
ITA
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
SUI
0 - 2
GER
44%
21%
35%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
SUI
2 - 2
ROU
45%
21%
34%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
YUG
2 - 2
SUI
37%
22%
41%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
HUN
3 - 0
SUI
78%
13%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1933 |
SUI
0 - 4
ENG
31%
21%
48%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |