Italy vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1929 |
ITA
6 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
ITA
1 - 2
GER
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
AUT
3 - 0
ITA
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
ITA
4 - 2
CSK
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1928 |
ITA
3 - 2
NED
57%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
SUI
1 - 3
AUT
32%
23%
45%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
CSK
5 - 0
SUI
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
SUI
1 - 4
CSK
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1929 |
SUI
4 - 5
HUN
38%
22%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1929 |
NED
3 - 2
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |