Italy vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1927 |
ITA
0 - 1
AUT
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1927 |
CSK
2 - 2
ITA
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1927 |
ITA
2 - 0
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
FRA
3 - 3
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1927 |
SUI
2 - 2
SWE
36%
22%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1927 |
SUI
1 - 4
AUT
39%
24%
38%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
ESP
1 - 0
SUI
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1927 |
SUI
1 - 5
ITA
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1926 |
GER
2 - 3
SUI
59%
20%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |