Italy vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
ITA
2 - 0
MEX
80%
13%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
SWE
0 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1971 |
IRL
1 - 2
ITA
25%
27%
48%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1970 |
ITA
3 - 0
IRL
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
41%
26%
34%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1971 |
SWE
3 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1971 |
SWE
1 - 0
BRD
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 3
SWE
34%
26%
41%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
SWE
0 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |