Italy vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1912 |
ITA
2 - 3
FIN
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1912 |
ITA
3 - 4
FRA
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1911 |
SUI
3 - 0
ITA
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1911 |
ITA
2 - 2
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1911 |
FRA
2 - 2
ITA
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1912 |
NED
4 - 3
SWE
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1912 |
SWE
7 - 1
FIN
74%
15%
12%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1912 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1912 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWE
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 3
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |