Italy vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
ITA
3 - 1
SCO
64%
23%
13%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
EST
0 - 3
ITA
7%
22%
71%
|
95 | 64 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1993 |
SUI
1 - 0
ITA
27%
31%
42%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
ITA
2 - 0
EST
93%
6%
1%
|
95 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
ITA
6 - 1
MLT
76%
18%
7%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
POR
3 - 0
EST
88%
10%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
POR
1 - 0
SUI
49%
27%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
20%
27%
54%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
POR
4 - 0
MLT
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
POR
5 - 0
SCO
42%
29%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |