Italy vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
POL
0 - 0
ITA
24%
30%
47%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
ITA
3 - 0
MDA
92%
6%
1%
|
97 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
ENG
0 - 1
ITA
48%
28%
25%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
ITA
2 - 0
NIR
73%
19%
8%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
BIH
2 - 1
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
96 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
POL
0 - 0
ITA
24%
30%
47%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
CZE
2 - 1
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1997 |
BRA
4 - 2
POL
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1997 |
POL
3 - 2
LVA
87%
10%
4%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
POL
3 - 2
CYP
84%
12%
5%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |