Italy vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
0 - 0
POL
65%
19%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1982 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
DDR
1 - 0
ITA
48%
26%
26%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1982 |
FRA
2 - 0
ITA
37%
28%
35%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
ITA
1 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
3%
|
91 | 39 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1982 |
PER
0 - 0
CMR
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1982 |
PER
2 - 0
ROU
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 1
PER
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
ALG
1 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
HUN
1 - 2
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |