Italy vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1998 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
72%
18%
11%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1998 |
ITA
3 - 0
CMR
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1998 |
ITA
2 - 2
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1998 |
SWE
1 - 0
ITA
38%
29%
33%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ITA
3 - 1
PAR
70%
20%
10%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1998 |
BRA
1 - 2
NOR
85%
10%
4%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1998 |
SCO
1 - 1
NOR
37%
28%
36%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 2
NOR
23%
27%
50%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
NOR
6 - 0
KSA
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1998 |
NOR
5 - 2
MEX
50%
26%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |