Italy vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
13.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
8 - 0
JPN
78%
13%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1936 |
HUN
1 - 2
ITA
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SUI
1 - 2
ITA
39%
23%
39%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
GER
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1936 |
TUR
0 - 4
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
3 - 4
NOR
77%
12%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
76%
13%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1936 |
NOR
1 - 2
SUI
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |