Italy vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
0 - 0
ISR
85%
10%
6%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
URU
0 - 0
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
POR
1 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 0
BEL
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
MEX
4 - 0
SLV
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
MEX
3 - 3
PER
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
MEX
3 - 1
PER
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |