Italy vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
1.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
MLT
0 - 2
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1986 |
ITA
3 - 2
SUI
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
ITA
2 - 0
GRC
78%
16%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1986 |
ITA
0 - 2
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1986 |
KOR
2 - 3
ITA
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
MLT
0 - 2
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
55 | 91 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
MLT
0 - 5
SWE
16%
24%
60%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
MLT
1 - 2
SWE
1%
14%
85%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
POR
3 - 2
MLT
92%
6%
2%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
MLT
0 - 0
CSK
19%
26%
55%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | +1 |