Italy vs North Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
ITA
8%
20%
71%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUI
61%
22%
18%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
29%
24%
48%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
5 - 0
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MKD
3 - 1
ISL
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ARM
0 - 5
MKD
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MKD
0 - 4
GER
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
0 - 4
MKD
6%
17%
77%
|
77 | 33 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
MKD
0 - 0
ROU
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |