Italy vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.2%
Win probability
3.9
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.5%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
8.3%
5-0
10.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.3%
4-0
13.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
4.3%
1.2%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
TUR
0 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
52%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1973 |
ITA
0 - 0
TUR
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
SUI
0 - 0
ITA
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
LUX
0 - 4
ITA
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ITA
3 - 1
YUG
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
TUR
3 - 0
LUX
71%
16%
13%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
LUX
2 - 0
TUR
39%
21%
39%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
LUX
0 - 4
ITA
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
CSK
6 - 0
LUX
93%
5%
2%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
LUX
0 - 8
NED
27%
22%
52%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |