Italy vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
URU
0 - 0
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
POR
1 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
ITA
3 - 0
DDR
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 1
ISR
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
URU
2 - 0
ISR
73%
15%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
ETH
1 - 5
ISR
39%
22%
39%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1970 |
ISR
0 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1969 |
SWE
3 - 1
ISR
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |