WC Play Offs Final
Global 10-2
Italy vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ISR
2 - 4
ITA
52%
22%
26%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1961 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARG
45%
23%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1961 |
ITA
2 - 3
ENG
44%
22%
34%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1961 |
ITA
3 - 2
NIR
78%
13%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
ITA
1 - 2
AUT
65%
18%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
ISR
1 - 1
KOR
51%
20%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ISR
2 - 4
ITA
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ETH
2 - 3
ISR
41%
22%
38%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1961 |
ISR
1 - 0
ETH
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
ISR
6 - 1
CYP
45%
21%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |