Italy vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
33%
24%
43%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 3
ARG
33%
26%
41%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 3
ITA
22%
26%
53%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
MKD
82%
14%
4%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
ITA
8%
20%
71%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 0
ENG
6%
16%
79%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NIR
0 - 1
HUN
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
HUN
0 - 1
SRB
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
POL
1 - 2
HUN
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
HUN
4 - 0
SMR
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 18 | 65 | 0 |