Italy vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
ITA
1 - 1
URU
68%
21%
12%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
ROU
1 - 0
ITA
38%
30%
33%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
AUT
0 - 1
ITA
41%
29%
30%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
ITA
1 - 0
DEN
69%
20%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1988 |
ITA
2 - 0
SCO
65%
22%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
HUN
1 - 1
MLT
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1989 |
HUN
3 - 0
SUI
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
HUN
0 - 0
IRL
72%
19%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
MLT
2 - 2
HUN
2%
17%
82%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1988 |
GRC
3 - 0
HUN
27%
27%
46%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |