Italy vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1938 |
ITA
2 - 1
BRA
73%
15%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1938 |
ITA
3 - 1
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1938 |
ITA
4 - 0
YUG
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1938 |
ITA
6 - 1
BEL
80%
12%
9%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
5 - 1
SWE
65%
16%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
2 - 0
SUI
80%
11%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
6 - 0
IDN
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1938 |
HUN
11 - 1
GRC
80%
12%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
HUN
59%
18%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |