Italy vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1928 |
ITA
3 - 2
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1927 |
ITA
0 - 1
AUT
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1927 |
CSK
2 - 2
ITA
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1927 |
ITA
2 - 0
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
FRA
3 - 3
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
HUN
2 - 1
YUG
90%
7%
3%
|
78 | 16 | 62 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1927 |
HUN
1 - 2
CSK
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1927 |
HUN
5 - 3
AUT
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1927 |
HUN
13 - 1
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
CSK
4 - 1
HUN
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |