Italy vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1924 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1924 |
ITA
2 - 2
SWE
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1924 |
SUI
2 - 1
ITA
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1924 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUX
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1924 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1924 |
HUN
4 - 1
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1924 |
AUT
2 - 1
HUN
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1924 |
HUN
4 - 0
POL
74%
14%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1924 |
FRA
0 - 1
HUN
34%
24%
43%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1924 |
EGY
3 - 0
HUN
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |