Italy vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
ITA
2 - 4
AUT
52%
20%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
ITA
5 - 2
SUI
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
HUN
0 - 1
ITA
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1933 |
ITA
1 - 1
ENG
51%
20%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
ITA
2 - 0
CSK
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1934 |
GRC
1 - 0
BGR
58%
19%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
GRC
1 - 0
BGR
57%
19%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1933 |
BGR
2 - 0
GRC
55%
20%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1933 |
ROU
1 - 0
GRC
69%
16%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1933 |
GRC
3 - 5
YUG
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | -1 |