Italy vs Great Britain U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
ITA
4 - 1
TWN
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
57%
21%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1960 |
ITA
3 - 0
SUI
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
ITA
1 - 1
HUN
27%
21%
53%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
CSK
2 - 1
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Great Britain U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
BRA
4 - 3
GBR
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1960 |
GBR
2 - 2
NED
42%
20%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1960 |
NED
1 - 5
GBR
64%
17%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
IRL
1 - 3
GBR
61%
18%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
GBR
3 - 2
IRL
46%
21%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |