Italy vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
17.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.6%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
6.8%
1.4%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
MDA
1 - 3
ITA
8%
23%
69%
|
96 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1996 |
ITA
0 - 0
GER
58%
24%
17%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1996 |
CZE
2 - 1
ITA
29%
28%
43%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1996 |
ITA
2 - 1
RUS
67%
21%
12%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
HUN
0 - 2
ITA
22%
30%
48%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
NOR
1 - 0
GEO
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
GRC
2 - 1
GEO
76%
15%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
ROU
5 - 0
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
CYP
0 - 2
GEO
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
MDA
3 - 2
GEO
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |