Italy vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1951 |
ITA
0 - 0
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
POR
1 - 4
ITA
38%
23%
40%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
ITA
2 - 0
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
3 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
AUT
1 - 0
ITA
49%
21%
30%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1951 |
SCO
1 - 0
FRA
66%
18%
17%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1951 |
NIR
2 - 2
FRA
36%
20%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1951 |
FRA
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
30%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
FRA
5 - 2
NED
54%
19%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1950 |
FRA
3 - 3
BEL
60%
18%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |