Italy vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1928 |
ESP
1 - 1
ITA
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
POR
4 - 1
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
ITA
4 - 3
HUN
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1928 |
ITA
3 - 2
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1927 |
ITA
0 - 1
AUT
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1928 |
FRA
1 - 5
ENG
28%
22%
51%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1928 |
FRA
0 - 2
CSK
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1928 |
FRA
1 - 1
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
FRA
2 - 3
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
SUI
4 - 3
FRA
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |