Italy vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.4%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 0
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 1
TUR
71%
20%
8%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
WAL
2 - 1
ITA
20%
28%
52%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 1
SCG
91%
8%
1%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
AZE
0 - 2
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
98 | 64 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 1
FIN
52%
27%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
TTO
1 - 2
FIN
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
BRB
0 - 0
FIN
11%
23%
66%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SCG
2 - 0
FIN
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
FIN
3 - 0
AZE
91%
7%
3%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |