Italy vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
SUN
1 - 0
ITA
43%
27%
29%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1975 |
FIN
0 - 1
ITA
23%
26%
51%
|
91 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
ITA
0 - 0
POL
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 0
BGR
76%
17%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
NED
3 - 1
ITA
39%
27%
33%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1975 |
NED
4 - 1
FIN
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
DEN
2 - 0
FIN
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1975 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1975 |
FIN
0 - 1
ITA
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 91 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1975 |
FIN
3 - 5
NOR
58%
21%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |