Italy vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1964 |
POL
0 - 1
ITA
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
SUI
1 - 3
ITA
29%
24%
48%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
ITA
0 - 0
CSK
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1964 |
ITA
7 - 1
TUR
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
71%
16%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 1
FIN
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
31%
21%
47%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
ISL
0 - 2
FIN
81%
11%
7%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1964 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1964 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
28%
22%
51%
|
44 | 87 | 43 | +1 |