Italy vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
14.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
18.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.3%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.8%
6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
6%
1%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
ITA
6 - 1
MLT
76%
18%
7%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
POR
1 - 3
ITA
28%
32%
40%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1993 |
ITA
2 - 0
MEX
62%
25%
14%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
MLT
1 - 2
ITA
17%
31%
52%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1992 |
SCO
0 - 0
ITA
31%
32%
37%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
SVN
2 - 0
EST
66%
19%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
EST
0 - 2
LVA
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1993 |
FIN
4 - 3
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
MLT
0 - 0
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1992 |
EST
0 - 6
SUI
17%
23%
61%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |