Italy vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
8.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1952 |
ITA
1 - 1
ENG
55%
19%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 0
ITA
41%
22%
37%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
37%
23%
40%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
72%
15%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
ITA
4 - 1
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1952 |
SCO
6 - 0
USA
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
CHI
5 - 2
USA
55%
19%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1950 |
USA
1 - 0
ENG
25%
20%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
ESP
3 - 1
USA
76%
13%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
USA
3 - 1
ISR
47%
20%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |